Explainer: Who has the higher hand on the 7 by-election seats in Rajasthan? The repute of those veterans is at stake, perceive the political equation

0
11
Explainer: Who has the higher hand on the 7 by-election seats in Rajasthan? The repute of those veterans is at stake, perceive the political equation


Rajasthan News: The dates of by-elections to be held in Dausa, Salumber, Jhunjhunu, Chaurasi, Khinvsar, Ramgarh and Deoli-Uniara meeting seats of Rajasthan might be introduced at present. The Election Commission goes to carry a press convention in Delhi at 3:30 pm. Out of those 7 seats, Congress had Ramgarh, Dausa, Jhunjhunu and Deoli-Uniara. While Khinvsar was held by RLP, Chaurasi was held by BAP and Salumber seat was held by BJP. Encouraged by the victory in Haryana elections, BJP has made totally different plans to win all these seats. At the identical time, India alliance just isn’t seen on this by-election to be held after the Lok Sabha elections. Congress has additionally made preparations to contest elections on all seats.

Who has the higher hand on which seat?

BAP Party has dominance over the tribal belt seat Chaurasi. Rajkumar Rot has received two consecutive elections from right here. Khinvsar is taken into account to be the robust stronghold of Hanuman Beniwal. Gurjar Meena votes are in a decisive place in Devli Uniara and Dausa meeting seats. The status of Congress chief Sachin Pilot and BJP authorities minister Kirori Lal Meena can be hooked up to those two seats. Jhunjhunu seat is a Jat dominated seat. The Ola household has an extended historical past related to this space. BJP is making each potential effort to blossom the lotus right here. Sympathy card goes to be the largest consider Ramgarh and Salumber seats. BJP has the higher hand in Salumber and Congress in Ramgarh. At each the locations, tickets might be given to the members of the family of the deceased MLAs.

All the events together with BJP and Congress have accomplished brainstorming concerning the names of the candidates. The names of the candidates might be introduced after the election dates are introduced.

Devli-Uniara meeting seat

Deoli-Uniara meeting seat of Tonk district has turn out to be vacant after Harish Meena grew to become MP. The by-election to be held on this seat can even be an election for the status of Sachin Pilot. In the meeting elections held in 2023, Harish Chandra Meena of Congress had received this seat for the second consecutive election by defeating Vijay Bainsla of BJP by 19 thousand 175 votes. In this Gurjar-Meena dominated seat, all equations are in keeping with the candidate fairly than the social gathering. The massive factor is that this is likely one of the few seats in Rajasthan, the place Gurjar-Meenas vote collectively.

Vote equation of Deoli-Uniara

There are a complete of three lakh 1 thousand 575 voters in Deoli-Uniara meeting. Among these, the utmost variety of 65 thousand (ST) Meena voters are there. After this, the variety of (SC) Bairava, Regar, Khatik, Koli Harijan voters is round 61 thousand. There are about 57 thousand Gurjar voters. Mali neighborhood has about 12 votes. Brahmin votes are round 15 thousand. The variety of Jat voters can be round 15 thousand. Vaishya-Mahajan voters are round 8 thousand. Rajput voters are round 4 thousand. The variety of Muslim voters is 14 thousand. Whereas different castes have about 58 thousand votes.

Ramgarh meeting seat

Ramgarh meeting seat of Alwar district, which was vacant as a result of dying of Congress MLA Zuber Khan, is adjoining to Haryana. Congress has principally dominated this seat. But Bharatiya Janata Party has additionally received the elections right here 4 instances. Senior BJP chief Gyan Dev Ahuja has been MLA thrice. Since 1990, Congress has at all times fielded solely Meo candidates within the elections right here. Whereas Bharatiya Janata Party makes a Hindu its candidate right here. From 1990 onwards, Zubair Khan was dominant. In 2018, his spouse Safia Zuber Khan received the election. This time, attributable to opposition from his spouse, ticket was given to Zuber Khan and he received the election, however attributable to poor well being, he died in September. In the final meeting elections, BJP gave ticket to Jai Ahuja and Congress to Zuber Khan, however with the variety of candidates being extra in BJP, Sukhwant Singh rebelled and contested the elections and BJP suffered loss attributable to this. On the premise of sympathy, Congress will give ticket solely to Safia Khan from Zuber Khan’s household or Zuber Khan’s son Aryan.

Ramgarh’s vote equation

There are a complete of two lakh 71 thousand 117 voters in Ramgarh meeting seat. If we have a look at the arithmetic of votes, Meo neighborhood has the utmost variety of 80 thousand votes. After this SC has 50 thousand votes. Similarly, there are 35 thousand voters from Rajput neighborhood, 25 thousand from Punjabi/Sikh neighborhood, 15 thousand from Jat neighborhood, 15 thousand from Saini neighborhood, 10 thousand from Brahmin neighborhood, 10 thousand from Bania neighborhood and 5 thousand from Gurjar neighborhood. Congress believes that if Meo and Dalit votes go in favor of Congress then victory might be straightforward. Because the turnout of Meo votes goes as much as 90 p.c. Apart from this, there may be additionally a cadre of Congress votes in different castes, therefore Congress is aspiring to play the sympathy card by giving tickets to the Zuber household.

salumbar meeting seat

Salumber is ST reserved seat. Here, late Amrit Lal Meena grew to become MLA for 3 consecutive phrases. Before this, Congress chief Basanti Devi Meena and earlier than that Congress chief Raghuveer Singh Meena have been MLAs. There are about 2.95 lakh voters within the meeting. In this, males are 150265 and girls are 144883. In the 2023 elections, Amritlal Meena of BJP acquired 80086 votes, Raghuveer Singh Meena of Congress acquired 65395 votes and Jitesh Kumar of Bharat Adivasi Party acquired 51691 votes. BJP has the higher hand in Salumbar. After the dying of three-time MLA late Amritlal Meena, there might be a sympathy issue, however Bharat Adivasi Party and Congress have joined palms in locations like Banswara Lok Sabha seat which may turn out to be a problem for BJP. In this election, the demand to declare Udaipur to Banswad State Mega Highway as a nationwide freeway and to ship Jaisamand water to Udaipur by a small pipeline is a giant election concern. Apart from these, the problem of declaring Chavand web site related to Maharana Pratap as a nationwide monument and increasing Salumber district and connecting Aspur, Sambla, Dhariyavad can even play an essential position.

Dausa meeting seat

The status of each BJP authorities minister Kirori Lal Meena and Congress chief Sachin Pilot is hooked up to Dausa meeting seat. Murari Lal Meena of Congress was elected MP from Dausa, after which this seat grew to become vacant. Before 2013, this seat was thought-about a stronghold of BJP, however Murari Lal Meena, near Sachin Pilot, strengthened the Congress by capturing this seat. It has been a problem for BJP for the final ten years. Shankar Sharma had received the Dausa meeting seat within the 12 months 2013. However, after this he needed to face defeat from Congress candidate Murari Lal Meena within the years 2018 and 2023. Murari Lal defeated Shankar Sharma this time by 31204 votes. Most of the voters in Dausa seat are from ST class. The SC-ST alliance had defeated BJP in Dausa seat. The variety of basic voters on that is third. In the 12 months 2023, there are 128106 male voters, 114980 feminine voters, complete 243086 voters. In the 12 months 2024, a complete of 246012 voters together with 129422 male voters and 116590 feminine voters are in Dausa Assembly seat.

eighty-fourth meeting seat

Eighty-four meeting seats, which have been as soon as a stronghold of Congress, have now been fully captured by the BAP social gathering. The BAP social gathering appears robust on the seat vacated by Rajkumar Rot changing into MP. Chaurasi meeting constituency bordering Rajasthan and Gujarat is 90 p.c tribal dominated meeting constituency. This meeting has historically been a stronghold of the Congress, however within the final two elections, a brand new social gathering, the Bharat Adivasi Party, has strengthened its maintain right here and the present MP from right here, Rajkumar Roat, has received a giant victory. The principal problems with this meeting constituency nonetheless stay migration, water scarcity and employment. Even within the by-elections, Bharat Adivasi Party appears to have the higher hand as a result of within the elections held in 2018 and 2023, Bharat Adivasi Party had received by an enormous margin. Due to this, Bharat Adivasi Party appears to have the higher hand on this by-election additionally. At current, there isn’t any dialogue occurring in regards to the alliance between Bharat Adivasi Party and Congress, but when there may be an alliance between Congress and Bharat Adivasi Party, then it will probably undoubtedly be mentioned that Bharat Adivasi Party will win right here even within the elections held earlier. Will obtain a giant victory. In 2008, Shankarlal Ahari of Congress grew to become MLA right here. 2013 Sushil Katara of BJP received, however after that in 2018 Rajkumar Rot first grew to become MLA from BTP after which in 2023 Rajkumar Rot from BAP Party.

Jhunjhunu meeting seat

Jhunjhunu district is adjoining to Haryana. The meeting seat of Jhunjhunu district has turn out to be vacant after MLA Brijendra Ola grew to become MP. By-election might be held for the second time on this seat if the MLA turns into MP. Earlier in 1996, by-election was held after Shishram Ola grew to become MP, during which BJP opened its account on this seat. There are about 260408 voters in Jhunjhunu meeting constituency. Of these, 133995 are male voters and 122970 are feminine voters. In the meeting elections held within the 12 months 2023, Brijendra Ola of Congress defeated Nishit Chaudhary of BJP by 28,863 votes. Whereas Rajendra, who was a BJP insurgent and contested the elections as an unbiased candidate, acquired 42,408 votes. Jhunjhunu has the utmost variety of 65 thousand Jat voters. After these there are 45 thousand voters from Muslim neighborhood. Whereas, 40 thousand of SC, 30 thousand of Rajput, 23 thousand of gardener, 18 thousand of Brahmin, 8 thousand of potter, 7 thousand of Vaishya, 7 thousand of Khati, 4 thousand of Gurjar, 3 thousand 500 of ST, 500 of barber, There are 2 thousand and 1 thousand 500 voters of Swami Samaj.

Also learn:- New equations might be created in Rajasthan by-elections, know who had dominance on 7 seats within the final elections?




Source link